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Analysis•Week 2

Five Week 2 Storylines BOA Is Watching

Texas enters the week at No. 4, Oklahoma and Michigan are moving in opposite directions, and the first in-season data is beginning to reshape the model.

By Ben BlankenshipSeptember 8, 2026Updated September 8, 20264 min read

Week 1 gave BOA its first real 2026 evidence. These are the five Week 2 storylines that can tell us whether those early signals are real.

One week does not define a college football season, but Week 1 changes the information available to every model.

BOA now has actual 2026 game performance to layer on top of preseason priors, roster information and historical team strength. Week 2 is where the first signals either begin to repeat or start looking like noise.

Here are five things BOA is watching.

1. Does Texas’ passing-game efficiency repeat?

Ryan Wingo, Cam Coleman and Arch Manning were the top three players on BOA’s Week 1 Player Performance board.

Texas also posted 0.673 passing EPA per play in the 59–7 win over Texas State.

That combination made the passing game the clearest strength of the opener. Week 2 gives BOA another data point to determine whether that level of efficiency is a stable offensive trait or partly a product of matchup and game state.

2. Can Texas’ defense improve the down-to-down profile?

The final score against Texas State was dominant, but BOA gave the defense a 73.4 grade.

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