BOA Transparency

Model Record

A permanent scorecard of published BOA forecasts after games become final. Historical prediction outcomes are preserved rather than silently rewritten.

Model Record2026 · Through Week 4Verified BOA release
Updated Sep 27, 2026, 10:29 PM
Straight-Up Accuracy
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0/0 published decisions correct
Margin MAE
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Average absolute point-margin error
Brier Score
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Lower is better for win-probability calibration
Graded Games
0
Immutable evaluated forecast rows

Weekly record

Performance by completed publication week.

WeekGamesWinnersAccuracyMargin MAEBrierScore Error
No completed BOA prediction outcomes have been graded yet.

Prediction ledger

The latest evaluated forecasts, including projected and actual results.