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Texas Intelligence2026 · Through Week 4Verified BOA release
Updated Sep 28, 2026, 7:09 PM
BOA Rank
#2
1879.1 rating
Offense / Defense
85.0 / 98.8
Record
4-0
4 completed
Next Win Chance
70.8%
Oklahoma Sooners
Game Hubs
Gamecast
Player Grades
Texas Stats
Latest Texas Postgame Intelligence
Texas 20–17 Tennessee
Canonical advanced package
BOA Game Grade
77.2 C+
Offense Grade
68.5
Defense Grade
87.0
Success Rate
31.8%
Opponent 30.9%
Explosiveness
0.740
Opponent 0.689
Efficiency · EPA / Play
-0.098
Consistency · Success Rate
31.8%
Big-Play Threat · Explosiveness
0.740
Disruption · Havoc Rate
23.4%
Field Position
Own 33
+9.1 yards/drive edge
BOA Expected Win Share
39.8%
BOA Game MVP
Colin Simmons
EDGE · 5 sacks · 5 TFL · 8 tackles
97.2
MVP Score
Top Game Impact Grades
#2 Colin Simmons · 93.6#1 Ryan Wingo · 99.0#3 Raleek Brown · 93.2
Next Game
Full scheduleNext GameSeason Forecast
#2 Texas
vs
#26 Oklahoma Sooners
Date
Saturday, October 10
Location
Cotton Bowl
Kickoff
2:30 PM CT
TV
ABC or ESPN
Texas Win Probability
70.8%
Projected Score
Texas 31 · Oklahoma Sooners 20
BOA Spread
Texas -10.6
BOA Pick Confidence
70.8% · Strong
2026 Season
Texas Forecast Path
W1
Texas vs Texas State
—
—
W2
Texas vs Ohio State Buckeyes
—
—
W3
Texas vs UTSA
—
—
W4
Texas at Tennessee
—
—
W6
Texas at Oklahoma Sooners
70.8%
31-20
W7
Texas vs Florida
73.2%
31-19
W8
Texas vs Ole Miss
71.5%
31-20
W9
Texas vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
81.2%
34-17
W10
Texas at Missouri
67.6%
30-21
W11
Texas at LSU
52.8%
24-23
W12
Texas vs Arkansas Razorbacks
88.4%
38-14
W13
Texas at Texas A&M Aggies
65.8%
28-20
Week 4 Performance Grades
Stat Leaders
No 2026 player production has been published yet.