Week 13 · Texas Game Hub
Texas vs Texas A&M Aggies
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 6:30 PM CT · Kyle Field · ABC
Game Intelligence2026 · Through Week 4Verified BOA release
Updated Sep 28, 2026, 7:09 PM
Current phase · Pregame
One game · one permanent hub
Texas
Matchup
VS
Texas A&M Aggies
BOA Game Intelligence Hub
The game in one view
Current forecast, biggest modeled matchup swing, verified game key and forecast movement. Every number comes from the active BOA publication or a preserved prior forecast.
Texas win chance
65.8%
Season Forecast
Projected score
28–20
Texas–opponent
BOA spread
Texas -7.9
Model-implied spread
Biggest swing
-13.1 pts
Opponent 200+ + Texas under 100
Three biggest matchup swings
What moves the model most?
Conditional sensitivity around the current BOA baseline—not a prediction that any condition will happen and not a causal claim.
#1 modeled swing
Opponent 200+ + Texas under 100
52.7%
-13.1 pts
515 matched scenarios · Sark 1-0
#2 modeled swing
Win turnovers + explosives
75.2%
+9.4 pts
2,124 matched scenarios · Sark 21-1
#3 modeled swing
Texas rushes under 100
56.9%
-8.9 pts
1,964 matched scenarios · Sark 4-8
Key to the game
Verified matchup package preparing
BOA will place the highest-priority verified game key here when the matchup package is public-ready.
What changed?
0.7%
+0.0 pts
Texas moved from 0.6% after Week 3 to 0.7% after Week 4.
Prior score
27–21
Current score
28–20
This is version-to-version movement only. BOA does not assign a reason unless a verified source receipt identifies one.
BOA Game Intelligence
Season Forecast · win probability, projected score, spread, ratings and matchup edge.
Forecast Authority
Season Forecast
BOA Ranks
#2 Texas · #27 Texas A&M Aggies
Texas Win Chance
65.8%
BOA Pick Confidence
65.8% · Strong
BOA Pick
Texas
Projected Score
Texas 28 · Texas A&M Aggies 20
BOA Spread
Texas -7.9
Texas BOA Rating
1879.1 · #2 nationally
Texas A&M Aggies BOA Rating
1710.3 · #27 nationally
Rating Edge
+168.8 Texas
National Unit Matchup
0–100 strength rating · national rank · percentile
MetricTexasTexas A&M Aggies
Offense85.0 · #19 · 87th pct78.5 · #25 · 83rd pct
Defense98.8 · #1 · 100th pct74.5 · #28 · 80th pct
Schedule Strength98.5 · #3 · 99th pct94.9 · #8 · 95th pct