BOA Articles

Texas football, explained by the data behind BOA.

Weekly analysis built from the same rankings, player performance grades, predictions, game intelligence, and model record that power Burnt Orange Analytics.

Analysis
Sep 23, 20265 min readWeek 4

3 Biggest Matchup Swings That Could Define Texas vs. Tennessee

BOA’s Win Path Builder shows how Tennessee’s rushing output, Texas’ own ground game and the turnover/explosive-play battles reshape the matchup.

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Analysis
Sep 23, 20265 min readWeek 4

3 Biggest Matchup Swings That Could Define Texas vs. Tennessee

BOA’s Win Path Builder shows how the ground game, turnovers and explosive plays can reshape Texas’ chances against Tennessee.

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Analysis
Sep 22, 20266 min readWeek 4

Texas–Tennessee: Arch Manning’s Response Headlines Three Matchups That Could Decide the Game

Texas is undefeated and No. 1, but Saturday’s trip to Knoxville will test the Longhorns’ run defense, passing game and ability to handle pressure on the road.

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Analysis
Sep 21, 20266 min readWeek 3

3–0, No. 1, and Still Room to Grow: Texas’ Non-Conference Recap

Texas swept non-conference play, beat the nation’s No. 1 team and enters the SEC schedule with an elite defensive baseline — but the offense still has another level to reach.

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Analysis
Sep 17, 20267 min readWeek 3

What the First Two Weeks Have Told Us About No. 1 Texas

A 59-7 blowout and a 24-23 comeback have already shown two very different versions of Texas — and both matter.

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Predictions
Sep 17, 20266 min readWeek 3

BOA Week 3 Model Watch: Where the Upsets Could Happen

Five featured games, five BOA forecasts — and two matchups the model sees as almost pure coin flips.

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Analysis
Sep 16, 20266 min readWeek 3

Five Things No. 1 Texas Needs to Clean Up Before Tennessee

Texas proved it can beat the nation’s No. 1 team. The next two weeks are about fixing the problems that could become much more expensive in SEC play.

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Analysis
Sep 16, 20265 min readWeek 3

The Offensive Line Changed the Ohio State Game — and Trevor Goosby Was the Reason

Texas’ comeback is remembered for the touchdowns. The protection that made three marathon fourth-quarter drives possible deserves just as much attention.

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Analysis
Sep 16, 20265 min readWeek 3

Why Hollywood Smothers Is Becoming Texas’ Most Important Offensive Weapon

Texas has stars all over the offense. Through two games, Smothers is becoming the player who connects the run game, passing game and high-leverage moments.

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Analysis
Sep 15, 20265 min readWeek 3

No. 1 Comes With Expectations: What Texas Needs to Show Against UTSA

Ohio State showed Texas can respond to adversity. UTSA can show whether the Longhorns know how to handle success.

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Analysis
Sep 14, 20266 min readWeek 2

How Texas Flipped Ohio State: The Numbers Behind a Historic Fourth Quarter

Texas trailed by 20 entering the fourth. Three touchdown drives, a defensive shutout and a handful of efficiency wins changed everything.

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Analysis
Sep 10, 20268 min readWeek 2

What Decides Saturday? The Analytics Behind Texas vs. Ohio State

Texas and Ohio State meet Saturday night in Austin. From controlling the line of scrimmage and Ohio State’s pass rush to red-zone execution and containing Jeremiah Smith, BOA breaks down the numbers and matchups that could decide the game.

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Rankings
Sep 8, 20265 min readWeek 2

BOA Week 2 Top 25: Texas Rises to No. 4

Ohio State stays No. 1, Texas climbs two spots and LSU makes the biggest move inside the Top 25.

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Game Recap
Sep 8, 20265 min readWeek 1

Texas 59, Texas State 7: What the BOA Data Says

A dominant scoreboard result, an explosive offense and a turnover-driven defensive performance — with a few numbers worth reading carefully.

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Player Grades
Sep 8, 20265 min readWeek 1

Week 1 Player Grades: What BOA’s Performance Model Saw

Ryan Wingo and Cam Coleman led a receiver-heavy top five, while Arch Manning also cleared the Elite threshold.

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Analysis
Sep 8, 20264 min readWeek 2

Five Week 2 Storylines BOA Is Watching

Texas enters the week at No. 4, Oklahoma and Michigan are moving in opposite directions, and the first in-season data is beginning to reshape the model.

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