BOA Model Center
Predictions
Win probability, projected score, BOA spread, rating edge, schedule-strength context, and matchup intelligence from the current approved BOA forecast.
Texas season baseline · after Week 4 · current weekly forecast overrides the matching game when available
Texas Season Baseline2026 · Through Week 4Verified BOA release
Updated Sep 28, 2026, 7:09 PM
Forecast Board
Week 1FINAL
NR Texas State@
NR Texas LonghornsFri, Sep 4 · 7:00 PM CT · Final Texas State 7 · Texas Longhorns 59 · kickoff rank snapshot unavailable
Texas W
Final result
Final
Texas State 7 · Texas Longhorns 59
Texas Pregame Win
5.6%
Rank Context
Unavailable
Week 2FINAL
#1 Ohio State Buckeyes@#4 Texas LonghornsFri, Sep 11 · 7:00 PM CT · Final Ohio State Buckeyes 23 · Texas Longhorns 24 · ranks frozen after Week 1
Texas W
Final result
Final
Ohio State Buckeyes 23 · Texas Longhorns 24
Texas Pregame Win
48.5%
Rank Context
Kickoff · W1 snapshot
Week 3FINAL
#60 UTSA@#1 Texas LonghornsFri, Sep 18 · 7:00 PM CT · Final UTSA 6 · Texas Longhorns 30 · ranks frozen after Week 2
Texas W
Final result
Final
UTSA 6 · Texas Longhorns 30
Texas Pregame Win
9.4%
Rank Context
Kickoff · W2 snapshot
Week 4FINAL
#1 Texas Longhorns@
#12 TennesseeFri, Sep 25 · 7:00 PM CT · Final Texas Longhorns 20 · Tennessee 17 · ranks frozen after Week 3
Texas W
Final result
Final
Texas Longhorns 20 · Tennessee 17
Texas Pregame Win
59.8%
Rank Context
Kickoff · W3 snapshot
Free BOA account
Unlock 7 more BOA forecasts
Create a free account to open the complete forecast board, matchup details, and Game Center links.
Complete BOA analysis
Save your football intelligence
Keep access across devices
Free · No credit card · Keeps your BOA saves across devices
Texas Game Forecast
#2 Texas@
#26 OklahomaWeek 6 · Sat, Oct 10 · 2:30 PM CT · Season Forecast · BOA pick Texas
BOA Pick
Texas
Win Probability
70.8% Texas
Projected Score
Texas 31 · Oklahoma 20
BOA Spread
Texas -10.6
Pick Confidence
70.8% · Strong
Rating Edge
Texas +153.5
Schedule Strength
98.5 / 90.5