What changes Texas’ chances to win?
Choose up to three stat outcomes for Texas–Florida and see BOA’s estimated Texas win probability if all of them happen.
If this happens, what are Texas’ chances?
Choose up to three team or player stat outcomes. BOA runs 10,000 fresh simulations of the current Texas–Florida matchup with every selected condition built into the same simulated games.
Simple game outcomes first. Every option shown here has already cleared the current matchup-simulation support check.
Advanced stat predictor
Choose a threshold or a bounded range, then add it to your scenario. A range counts as one of the three metrics. For percentage metrics, enter 45 for 45%. Current scenario range: 20.0 to 325.0.
Start at 73.2%
Choose one to three stat outcomes to simulate 10,000 versions of this game with all selected conditions built in.
How BOA calculates this
BOA starts from the active forecast and current-week matchup profile, then simulates this Texas game 10,000 times. You can apply up to three metrics at once; every selected condition is enforced together before scoring in all 10,000 games. Current-season team production, opponent allowed production, advanced efficiency and verified player usage shape the distributions. These are conditional estimates, not guarantees.
Win probability by stat range
BOA builds five matchup-specific 25-yard bands around the current projection, then runs 10,000 current-game simulations inside each band. This avoids a 200+ threshold being distorted by 300+ outcomes.
Share your stat prediction
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