Rankings
BOA Team Profile
Michigan State
Big Ten · Current BOA team profile
BOA Rank
#64
Power Rating
1516.2
Ranking score 1496.4 · résumé -44.1
Offense
42.9
#83 nationally · 41st percentile
Defense
67.3
#39 nationally · 72nd percentile
Schedule Strength
81.8
#26 nationally · 82nd percentile
Recent Form
14.8
National Component Profile
How Michigan State compares with the FBS
138-team active BOA publication
Offensive Strength
42.9
#83 nationally41st percentile
Defensive Strength
67.3
#39 nationally72nd percentile
Schedule Strength
81.8
#26 nationally82nd percentile
Component ratings use a 0–100 national-strength scale. Higher offense and defense mean stronger units; higher schedule strength means a more difficult schedule.
Advanced Team Intelligence
CFBD advanced game performance
Measured game performance is displayed separately from BOA model ratings.
2 completed games with advanced data
Season PPA / Play
+0.137
Play-weighted
Season Success Rate
45.3%
Play-weighted
Season Explosiveness
1.109
Play-weighted
Points / Opportunity
3.56
Opportunity-weighted
Latest advanced game
Week 2 · vs Eastern Michigan
35–7 · Data quality: advanced box
Source: CFBD advanced box
Efficiency · EPA / Play
—
Value created per play
Consistency · Success Rate
55.6%
How often the offense stayed on schedule
Big-Play Threat · Explosiveness
1.120
Damage created on successful plays
Disruption · Havoc Rate
22.0%
Negative events created by the defense
Field Position
Own 35
BOA Expected Win Share
—
How often this performance profile would be expected to win
Advanced details
PPA / Play
+0.292
Pass PPA / Play
+0.258
Rush PPA / Play
+0.334
Cumulative PPA
+18.40
Standard-Down Success
58.8%
Passing-Down Success
41.7%
Stuff Rate
8.6%
Power Success
87.5%
Line Yards / Rush
3.70
2nd-Level Yards / Rush
1.10
Open-Field Yards / Rush
1.70
Points / Opportunity
4.38
Pass EPA / Play
—
Rush EPA / Play
—
Advanced game log
| Week | Opponent | PPA/Play | Success | Explosive | Havoc | Pts/Opp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs Eastern Michigan | +0.292 | 55.6% | 1.120 | 22.0% | 4.38 |
| W1 | vs Toledo | +0.023 | 37.6% | 1.100 | 26.2% | 2.90 |
CFBD Passing Intelligence
Passing production + efficiency
PPA, success, explosiveness, aDOT, air yards, YAC and location availability.
partial
Offense PPA
0.531
34 attempts
Success Rate
52.9%
18 successful
aDOT
8.1
100% air-yard coverage
Explosiveness
1.357
100% location coverage
PPA Allowed
0.778
Opponent passing production
Success Allowed
38.1%
Opponent success rate
aDOT Allowed
10.6
95% coverage
Expl. Allowed
2.455
Opponent explosiveness
Passing PPA by game
Field View
Michigan State passing map
Deep ↑
Behind LOS ↓
Behind LOS ↓
Deep
Left
0att
Comp —
YPA —
PPA 0.000
Success 0%
aDOT —
YAC —
Middle
0att
Comp —
YPA —
PPA 0.000
Success 0%
aDOT —
YAC —
Right
1att
Comp 0%
YPA 0.0
PPA -0.830
Success 0%
aDOT 30.0
YAC —
Short
Short
Left
15att
Comp 80%
YPA 6.9
PPA 0.258
Success 40%
aDOT 7.7
YAC 22
Middle
6att
Comp 50%
YPA 3.5
PPA -0.203
Success 33%
aDOT 4.5
YAC 11
Right
12att
Comp 92%
YPA 10.2
PPA 1.351
Success 83%
aDOT 8.7
YAC 24
Line of Scrimmage
Behind LOS
Left
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Middle
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Right
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Backfield / screen area
Unclassified: 0 attempts · — comp · 0.000 PPA/play
Behind LOS includes only passes with negative charted air yards. Missing play-level charting is shown as unavailable, never as zero.
Movement Intelligence
Rank + Rating History
Published BOA position and rating by week.
Week 0
#62
1535.2
Week 0
#62
1535.2
+0.0 rating
No rank change
Week 1
#61
1535.2
-0.0 rating
▲ 1 spots
Week 1
#34
1548.8
+13.6 rating
▲ 27 spots
Rating History
Each bar shows that week's rating relative to this team's highest published rating.
Week 01535.2
Week 01535.2
Week 11535.2
Week 11548.8
Week 21548.8
Week 21559.4
Week 21565.3
Week 21565.3
Week 31579.0
Week 31579.0
Week 31579.0
Week 31579.0
Week 31579.0
Week 31573.1
Week 31559.1
Week 41578.9
Week 41578.9
Week 41564.9
Week 41540.5
Week 41540.5
Week 51516.2
Week 51516.2
2026 Model Schedule
Week 1
vs Toledo#72 BOA
Final 30–20
Week 2
vs Eastern Michigan#125 BOA
Final 35–7
Week 3
at Notre Dame#4 BOA
Final 27–10
Week 4
vs Nebraska#22 BOA
Final 13–31
Week 5
at Wisconsin#33 BOA
26.9% win
View prediction →
Week 6
vs Illinois#36 BOA
No active forecast
Week 7
vs Northwestern#34 BOA
No active forecast
Week 8
at UCLA#19 BOA
No active forecast
BOA rating context
BOA team profiles use the current published ratings and forecasts. They update automatically as new game results are processed.