Rankings
BOA Team Profile
Toledo
Mid-American · Current BOA team profile
BOA Rank
#72
Power Rating
1506.9
Ranking score 1479.6
Offense
78.0
#26 nationally · 82nd percentile
Defense
31.3
#97 nationally · 30th percentile
Schedule Strength
2.9
#134 nationally · 4th percentile
Recent Form
92.2
National Component Profile
How Toledo compares with the FBS
138-team active BOA publication
Offensive Strength
78.0
#26 nationally82nd percentile
Defensive Strength
31.3
#97 nationally30th percentile
Schedule Strength
2.9
#134 nationally4th percentile
Component ratings use a 0–100 national-strength scale. Higher offense and defense mean stronger units; higher schedule strength means a more difficult schedule.
Advanced Team Intelligence
CFBD advanced game performance
Measured game performance is displayed separately from BOA model ratings.
1 completed game with advanced data
Season PPA / Play
+0.284
Play-weighted
Season Success Rate
28.6%
Play-weighted
Season Explosiveness
2.340
Play-weighted
Points / Opportunity
3.50
Opportunity-weighted
Latest advanced game
Week 1 · at Michigan State
20–30 · Data quality: advanced box
Source: CFBD advanced box
Efficiency · EPA / Play
—
Value created per play
Consistency · Success Rate
28.6%
How often the offense stayed on schedule
Big-Play Threat · Explosiveness
2.340
Damage created on successful plays
Disruption · Havoc Rate
10.6%
Negative events created by the defense
Field Position
Own 30
BOA Expected Win Share
67.9%
How often this performance profile would be expected to win
Advanced details
PPA / Play
+0.284
Pass PPA / Play
+0.501
Rush PPA / Play
+0.047
Cumulative PPA
+11.90
Standard-Down Success
28.0%
Passing-Down Success
29.4%
Stuff Rate
44.4%
Power Success
0.0%
Line Yards / Rush
1.10
2nd-Level Yards / Rush
0.70
Open-Field Yards / Rush
3.50
Points / Opportunity
3.50
Pass EPA / Play
—
Rush EPA / Play
—
CFBD Passing Intelligence
Passing production + efficiency
PPA, success, explosiveness, aDOT, air yards, YAC and location availability.
partial
Offense PPA
0.778
21 attempts
Success Rate
38.1%
8 successful
aDOT
10.6
95% air-yard coverage
Explosiveness
2.455
90% location coverage
PPA Allowed
0.531
Opponent passing production
Success Allowed
52.9%
Opponent success rate
aDOT Allowed
8.1
100% coverage
Expl. Allowed
1.357
Opponent explosiveness
Passing PPA by game
Field View
Toledo passing map
Deep ↑
Behind LOS ↓
Behind LOS ↓
Deep
Left
1att
Comp 100%
YPA 60.0
PPA 6.543
Success 100%
aDOT 36.0
YAC 24
Middle
1att
Comp 100%
YPA 29.0
PPA 3.135
Success 100%
aDOT 21.0
YAC 8
Right
1att
Comp 0%
YPA 0.0
PPA -0.149
Success 0%
aDOT 25.0
YAC —
Short
Short
Left
5att
Comp 60%
YPA 5.0
PPA 0.273
Success 40%
aDOT 6.2
YAC 8
Middle
4att
Comp 50%
YPA 2.8
PPA 0.355
Success 25%
aDOT 4.3
YAC 5
Right
7att
Comp 57%
YPA 9.3
PPA 0.180
Success 29%
aDOT 9.1
YAC 29
Line of Scrimmage
Behind LOS
Left
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Middle
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Right
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Backfield / screen area
Unclassified: 2 attempts · 50% comp · 1.386 PPA/play
Behind LOS includes only passes with negative charted air yards. Missing play-level charting is shown as unavailable, never as zero.
Movement Intelligence
Rank + Rating History
Published BOA position and rating by week.
Week 0
#86
1475.5
Week 0
#86
1475.5
+0.0 rating
No rank change
Week 1
#84
1475.5
-0.0 rating
▲ 2 spots
Week 1
#55
1461.9
-13.6 rating
▲ 29 spots
Rating History
Each bar shows that week's rating relative to this team's highest published rating.
Week 01475.5
Week 01475.5
Week 11475.5
Week 11461.9
Week 21461.9
Week 21451.3
Week 21451.3
Week 21451.3
Week 31451.3
Week 31451.3
Week 31451.3
Week 31451.3
Week 31451.3
Week 31455.8
Week 31455.7
Week 41445.9
Week 41445.9
Week 41445.8
Week 41474.0
Week 41474.0
Week 51506.9
Week 51506.9
2026 Model Schedule
Week 1
at Michigan State#64 BOA
Final 30–20
Week 3
vs Temple#115 BOA
Final 49–48
Week 4
vs San Diego State#98 BOA
Final 41–16
Week 5
at Ball State#135 BOA
78.0% win
View prediction →
Week 6
vs Buffalo#122 BOA
No active forecast
Week 7
at Eastern Michigan#125 BOA
No active forecast
Week 8
vs Western Michigan#80 BOA
No active forecast
BOA rating context
BOA team profiles use the current published ratings and forecasts. They update automatically as new game results are processed.