Rankings
BOA Team Profile
Arkansas State
Sun Belt · Current BOA team profile
BOA Rank
#96
Power Rating
1396.6
Ranking score 1392.5 · résumé -8.9
Offense
19.7
#114 nationally · 18th percentile
Defense
41.6
#83 nationally · 41st percentile
Schedule Strength
18.2
#113 nationally · 19th percentile
Recent Form
40.0
National Component Profile
How Arkansas State compares with the FBS
138-team active BOA publication
Offensive Strength
19.7
#114 nationally18th percentile
Defensive Strength
41.6
#83 nationally41st percentile
Schedule Strength
18.2
#113 nationally19th percentile
Component ratings use a 0–100 national-strength scale. Higher offense and defense mean stronger units; higher schedule strength means a more difficult schedule.
Advanced Team Intelligence
CFBD advanced game performance
Measured game performance is displayed separately from BOA model ratings.
1 completed game with advanced data
Season PPA / Play
+0.125
Play-weighted
Season Success Rate
50.0%
Play-weighted
Season Explosiveness
1.260
Play-weighted
Points / Opportunity
2.43
Opportunity-weighted
Latest advanced game
Week 1 · at Memphis
24–42 · Data quality: advanced box
Source: CFBD advanced box
Efficiency · EPA / Play
—
Value created per play
Consistency · Success Rate
50.0%
How often the offense stayed on schedule
Big-Play Threat · Explosiveness
1.260
Damage created on successful plays
Disruption · Havoc Rate
9.2%
Negative events created by the defense
Field Position
Own 31
BOA Expected Win Share
5.2%
How often this performance profile would be expected to win
Advanced details
PPA / Play
+0.125
Pass PPA / Play
+0.215
Rush PPA / Play
+0.209
Cumulative PPA
+7.50
Standard-Down Success
59.1%
Passing-Down Success
25.0%
Stuff Rate
11.5%
Power Success
83.3%
Line Yards / Rush
3.20
2nd-Level Yards / Rush
1.30
Open-Field Yards / Rush
1.00
Points / Opportunity
2.43
Pass EPA / Play
—
Rush EPA / Play
—
CFBD Passing Intelligence
Passing production + efficiency
PPA, success, explosiveness, aDOT, air yards, YAC and location availability.
full
Offense PPA
0.248
30 attempts
Success Rate
53.3%
16 successful
aDOT
9.4
100% air-yard coverage
Explosiveness
1.665
87% location coverage
PPA Allowed
0.971
Opponent passing production
Success Allowed
53.3%
Opponent success rate
aDOT Allowed
12.3
100% coverage
Expl. Allowed
2.370
Opponent explosiveness
Passing PPA by game
Field View
Arkansas State passing map
Deep ↑
Behind LOS ↓
Behind LOS ↓
Deep
Left
3att
Comp 67%
YPA 22.0
PPA 1.241
Success 67%
aDOT 27.7
YAC 10
Middle
0att
Comp —
YPA —
PPA 0.000
Success 0%
aDOT —
YAC —
Right
1att
Comp 100%
YPA 22.0
PPA 1.934
Success 100%
aDOT 20.0
YAC 2
Short
Short
Left
8att
Comp 75%
YPA 6.9
PPA 0.317
Success 63%
aDOT 4.4
YAC 27
Middle
5att
Comp 80%
YPA 11.6
PPA 0.988
Success 80%
aDOT 8.4
YAC 21
Right
9att
Comp 89%
YPA 13.8
PPA 0.934
Success 44%
aDOT 4.8
YAC 85
Line of Scrimmage
Behind LOS
Left
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Middle
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Right
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Backfield / screen area
Unclassified: 4 attempts · 0% comp · -3.521 PPA/play
Behind LOS includes only passes with negative charted air yards. Missing play-level charting is shown as unavailable, never as zero.
Movement Intelligence
Rank + Rating History
Published BOA position and rating by week.
Week 0
#99
1422.8
Week 0
#99
1422.8
+0.0 rating
No rank change
Week 1
#97
1422.8
-0.0 rating
▲ 2 spots
Rating History
Each bar shows that week's rating relative to this team's highest published rating.
Week 01422.8
Week 01422.8
Week 11422.8
Week 11411.6
Week 21411.6
Week 21398.0
Week 21398.0
Week 21398.0
Week 31398.0
Week 31398.0
Week 31398.0
Week 31398.0
Week 31398.0
Week 31391.7
Week 31391.7
Week 41386.1
Week 41386.1
Week 41386.1
Week 41401.3
Week 41401.3
Week 51396.6
Week 51396.6
2026 Model Schedule
Week 1
at Memphis#55 BOA
Final 42–24
Week 3
at TCU#47 BOA
Final 31–7
Week 4
vs Kennesaw State#124 BOA
Final 17–14
Week 5
at Louisiana#73 BOA
29.0% win
View prediction →
Week 6
vs South Alabama#89 BOA
No active forecast
Week 7
at Southern Miss#116 BOA
No active forecast
Week 8
vs Georgia State#112 BOA
No active forecast
BOA rating context
BOA team profiles use the current published ratings and forecasts. They update automatically as new game results are processed.