BOA POSTGAME REPORT
Texas vs Tennessee
September 26, 2026 · Verified final
Texas Football · Week 4
Texas 20 · 17 Tennessee
A verified BOA postgame package built from the final score, CFBD box score, advanced game data, and certified player-grade inputs.
Final data confirmed
Source package: full
BOA Final Game Analytics
Texas 20 · 17 Tennessee
Verified final-game analytics, BOA model review, player impact grades and season impact.
BOA Game Grade
78.1 C+
Overall
78.1C+
Offense
57.5
Defense
100.0
Special Teams
75.8
Team Coverage
99.0
Team Run Defense
89.5
Team Coverage is an automated unit grade from opponent passing efficiency, completions, yards/attempt, TD/INT rates and explosive passes. It is not an individual defender coverage grade. Team Run Defense uses opponent rushing efficiency, yards/carry, stuff rate and explosive runs.
What the game actually looked like
Six headline metrics answer six football questions. The deeper numbers remain available below.
Efficiency
How much value did each play create?
Texas
-0.098
Opponent
-0.019
Consistency
How often did the offense stay on schedule?
Texas
31.8%
Opponent
30.9%
Big-Play Threat
How damaging were successful plays?
Texas
0.740
Opponent
0.689
Disruption
How often did the defense create havoc?
Texas
23.4%
Opponent
25.4%
Field Position
Who consistently started with the shorter field?
Texas
Own 33
Opponent
Own 24
Texas +9.1 yards/drive
BOA Expected Win Share
How often would this statistical profile win?
Texas
39.8%
Opponent
60.2%
Advanced details
PPA / Play
Texas
-0.140
Opponent
-0.175
Pass PPA / Play
Texas
+0.106
Opponent
-0.382
Rush PPA / Play
Texas
-0.079
Opponent
+0.069
Pass EPA / Play
Texas
+0.131
Opponent
-0.098
Rush EPA / Play
Texas
-0.277
Opponent
+0.067
Early-Down EPA
Texas
+0.219
Opponent
-0.129
Passing-Down EPA
Texas
+1.020
Opponent
-0.571
Standard-Down Success
Texas
38.3%
Opponent
38.3%
Passing-Down Success
Texas
23.7%
Opponent
22.0%
Explosive Play Rate
Texas
11.8%
Opponent
0.0%
Stuff Rate
Texas
16.7%
Opponent
16.1%
Pressure Rate
Texas
38.1%
Opponent
32.0%
Points / Drive
Texas
1.67
Opponent
1.31
Points / Opportunity
Texas
1.90
Opponent
2.50
Yards / Play
Texas
4.76
Opponent
2.91
3rd Down
Texas
25.0%
Opponent
25.0%
Red Zone
Texas
—
Opponent
—
BOA Prediction Review
Predicted
24–20
Final
20–17
Margin Error
1.0 pts
Winner
Correct
Projected Texas margin +4.0 · actual +3.0.
Season Impact
The next BOA ratings/CFP refresh has not published yet. This section will update automatically when those approved outputs are available.
Biggest Game Swings
Largest preserved Texas win-probability changes from the live timeline.
1
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete deep left to #1 T.Smith Jr. thrown to TEXAS00 broken up by #4 J.McDonald
Q— · Texas 20–17
+20.9 pts
2
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Cooper rush right for 9 yards gain to the TENN17 (#22 J.Telander)
Q4 7:48 · Texas 13–10
+14.8 pts
3
Timeout Texas, clock 14:23
Q4 14:23 · Texas 13–10
-4.1 pts
MVP Score
98.0
Game Impact · 50%
100.0
Raw impact 32.30
Performance · 30%
93.5
Certified BOA Performance Grade
High Leverage · 20%
100.0
Decisive verified production
BOA Game Impact
Who changed the game most? Impact is separate from how close a player came to a perfect performance.
#1 Game Impact
Colin Simmons
EDGE
32.3
Impact score
#2 Game Impact
Ryan Wingo
WR
21.3
Impact score
#3 Game Impact
Raleek Brown
RB
19.2
Impact score
#4 Game Impact
Rasheem Biles
LB
14.8
Impact score
#5 Game Impact
Maraad Watson
DL
8.8
Impact score
#6 Game Impact
Hero Kanu
DL
8.3
Impact score
#7 Game Impact
Zina Umeozulu
EDGE
8.3
Impact score
#8 Game Impact
Emmett Mosley V
WR
8.1
Impact score
#9 Game Impact
Cam Coleman
WR
8.1
Impact score
BOA Player Performance + Defensive Impact
Offensive players receive position-specific Performance grades. Defensive players receive position-specific Defensive Impact from verified production and disruption. Individual coverage is intentionally not graded without defender-to-target assignment data.
Defensive Impact · limited
Colin Simmons
EDGE · Elite
93.5
A-
Pass Rush92.5
Run Disruption89.8
Tackling80.4
Ball Production65.0
Coverage: not individually graded
Performance · limited
Emmett Mosley V
WR · Very good
84.5
B
Defensive Impact · limited
Maraad Watson
DL · Very good
83.3
B
Pass Rush85.2
Run Disruption80.9
Tackling78.6
Ball Production65.0
Coverage: not individually graded
Defensive Impact · limited
Hero Kanu
DL · Very good
82.9
B
Pass Rush85.2
Run Disruption80.5
Tackling77.2
Ball Production65.0
Coverage: not individually graded
Defensive Impact · limited
Zina Umeozulu
EDGE · Very good
82.9
B
Pass Rush85.2
Run Disruption80.5
Tackling77.2
Ball Production65.0
Coverage: not individually graded
Performance · limited
Cam Coleman
WR · Very good
82.6
B
Defensive Impact · limited
Lance Jackson
EDGE · Below average
81.3
C
Pass Rush65.0
Run Disruption68.8
Tackling77.2
Ball Production65.0
Coverage: not individually graded
Performance · full
Ryan Wingo
WR · Very good
80.8
B
Performance · full
Mac Chiumento
P · Good
79.6
B-
Source: CFBD advanced box + live plays + BOA verified database + BOA pregame opponent unit ratings. BOA Game Grade version boa_game_performance_v5_defensive_facets. Data quality: full. No synthetic or placeholder values are used.
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