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Predictions

BOA Matchup Center

#129 Akronat#119 Central Michigan

Week 5·Active forecast·As of Week 4

Published Forecast2026 · Through Week 4Verified BOA release

Updated Sep 27, 2026, 10:29 PM

#129 Akron

BOA rating 1297.6

Win probability

40.1%

Projected

#119 Central Michigan

BOA rating 1312.5

BOA Pick

Win probability

59.9%

Projected

BOA Pick

Central Michigan

Pick Confidence

59.9%

Lean

Projected Margin

Central Michigan by 4.8

BOA Spread

Central Michigan -4.8

Rating Edge

Central Michigan +14.9

How the matchup tilts

Each edge is calculated from the exact team-rating board attached to this published forecast. BOA does not substitute live or staged values here.

Overall power

Central Michigan

Akron

1297.6

Central Michigan

1312.5

Central Michigan holds a 14.9-point rating edge.

Akron offense

Central Michigan

Akron offense

6.3

Central Michigan defense

21.5

Central Michigan holds a 15.2-point rating edge.

Central Michigan offense

Akron

Akron defense

10.7

Central Michigan offense

6.6

Akron holds a 4.1-point rating edge.

Schedule strength

Akron

22.6

Central Michigan

16.8

Akron holds a 5.8-point rating edge.

Matchup pressure points

The three verified areas with the most influence on BOA’s view of the game.

Akron offense

Central Michigan holds a 15.2-point rating edge.

Overall power

Central Michigan holds a 14.9-point rating edge.

Schedule strength

Akron holds a 5.8-point rating edge.

Game context

KickoffOct 3, 2026, 7:30 PM

SiteCentral Michigan home game

Week5

Forecast throughWeek 4

Projection stateActive and published

Recent form

The last three completed games available in the current BOA season database. These are context, not a replacement for the model.

Akron

Last 3 completed

0–3

LWeek 4 · UNLV

10–38

LWeek 3 · Minnesota

7–41

LWeek 1 · Wake Forest

16–38

Central Michigan

Last 3 completed

1–2

LWeek 4 · Miami

3–52

WWeek 3 · Wyoming

24–10

LWeek 1 · New Mexico

7–38

Matchup Comparison

Current BOA team-rating context alongside the published pregame forecast.

MetricAkronCentral Michigan

National Rank#129#119

BOA Rating1297.61312.5

Offensive Rating6.36.6

Defensive Rating10.721.5

Schedule Strength22.616.8

Win Probability40.1%59.9%

Projected Points2327

Forecast Snapshot

Projected Total50.0

Rating EdgeCentral Michigan +14.9

As-of Week4

Forecast StatusCurrent

Information Statein_season_next_game

Model Lineage

Forecast Versionboa_2026_national_week5_postw04_e14671fa1b1d_v1

Model Versionboa_2026_week5_r22_absolute_power_postw04_v4

Component Modelboa_r22_absolute_power_plus_boa_team_components_weekly_v1_asof_w04_v4

Score/Spread Modelboa_score_spread_v2_market_total_margin_realism_v7

Score Displayfootball_score_realism_v2 · unchanged

Generated9/27/2026, 9:54:55 PM

Published9/27/2026, 9:54:55 PM

Understanding confidence

BOA Pick Confidence is the model-estimated win probability of the selected winner. It is a probabilistic estimate, not a guarantee. Current rating and schedule-strength values provide matchup context. BOA preserves the published raw forecast; its football-score realism layer only converts integer display scores when needed while leaving win probability, modeled margin, and spread unchanged.

#129 Akronat#119 Central Michigan

How the matchup tilts

Matchup pressure points

Game context

Recent form

Matchup Comparison

Forecast Snapshot

Model Lineage

Get BOA’s Texas prediction before kickoff.