Rankings
BOA Team Profile
Fresno State
Pac-12 · Current BOA team profile
BOA Rank
#59
Power Rating
1510.5
Ranking score 1519.5
Offense
45.9
#78 nationally · 44th percentile
Defense
70.2
#36 nationally · 75th percentile
Schedule Strength
35.8
#89 nationally · 36th percentile
Recent Form
47.8
National Component Profile
How Fresno State compares with the FBS
138-team active BOA publication
Offensive Strength
45.9
#78 nationally44th percentile
Defensive Strength
70.2
#36 nationally75th percentile
Schedule Strength
35.8
#89 nationally36th percentile
Component ratings use a 0–100 national-strength scale. Higher offense and defense mean stronger units; higher schedule strength means a more difficult schedule.
Advanced Team Intelligence
CFBD advanced game performance
Measured game performance is displayed separately from BOA model ratings.
2 completed games with advanced data
Season PPA / Play
+0.044
Play-weighted
Season Success Rate
38.5%
Play-weighted
Season Explosiveness
1.275
Play-weighted
Points / Opportunity
3.78
Opportunity-weighted
Latest advanced game
Week 2 · vs Sacramento State
49–3 · Data quality: advanced box
Source: CFBD advanced box
Efficiency · EPA / Play
—
Value created per play
Consistency · Success Rate
48.8%
How often the offense stayed on schedule
Big-Play Threat · Explosiveness
1.360
Damage created on successful plays
Disruption · Havoc Rate
26.7%
Negative events created by the defense
Field Position
Own 31
BOA Expected Win Share
—
How often this performance profile would be expected to win
Advanced details
PPA / Play
+0.296
Pass PPA / Play
+0.827
Rush PPA / Play
-0.122
Cumulative PPA
+12.70
Standard-Down Success
57.6%
Passing-Down Success
20.0%
Stuff Rate
21.1%
Power Success
33.3%
Line Yards / Rush
2.70
2nd-Level Yards / Rush
0.70
Open-Field Yards / Rush
0.40
Points / Opportunity
4.86
Pass EPA / Play
—
Rush EPA / Play
—
Advanced game log
| Week | Opponent | PPA/Play | Success | Explosive | Havoc | Pts/Opp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs Sacramento State | +0.296 | 48.8% | 1.360 | 26.7% | 4.86 |
| W1 | at USC | -0.356 | 22.2% | 1.140 | 21.6% | 0.00 |
CFBD Passing Intelligence
Passing production + efficiency
PPA, success, explosiveness, aDOT, air yards, YAC and location availability.
full
Offense PPA
0.040
15 attempts
Success Rate
40.0%
6 successful
aDOT
7.2
100% air-yard coverage
Explosiveness
1.180
93% location coverage
PPA Allowed
0.971
Opponent passing production
Success Allowed
80.6%
Opponent success rate
aDOT Allowed
6.0
97% coverage
Expl. Allowed
1.525
Opponent explosiveness
Passing PPA by game
Field View
Fresno State passing map
Deep ↑
Behind LOS ↓
Behind LOS ↓
Deep
Left
0att
Comp —
YPA —
PPA 0.000
Success 0%
aDOT —
YAC —
Middle
0att
Comp —
YPA —
PPA 0.000
Success 0%
aDOT —
YAC —
Right
0att
Comp —
YPA —
PPA 0.000
Success 0%
aDOT —
YAC —
Short
Short
Left
4att
Comp 50%
YPA 4.8
PPA 0.674
Success 50%
aDOT 7.3
YAC 0
Middle
2att
Comp 50%
YPA 6.0
PPA 0.895
Success 50%
aDOT 7.5
YAC 3
Right
8att
Comp 50%
YPA 5.8
PPA -0.195
Success 38%
aDOT 4.1
YAC 17
Line of Scrimmage
Behind LOS
Left
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Middle
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Right
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Backfield / screen area
Unclassified: 1 attempts · 0% comp · -2.328 PPA/play
Behind LOS includes only passes with negative charted air yards. Missing play-level charting is shown as unavailable, never as zero.
Movement Intelligence
Rank + Rating History
Published BOA position and rating by week.
Week 0
#67
1522.5
Week 0
#67
1522.5
-0.0 rating
No rank change
Week 1
#67
1522.5
+0.0 rating
No rank change
Week 1
#42
1514.6
-8.0 rating
▲ 25 spots
Rating History
Each bar shows that week's rating relative to this team's highest published rating.
Week 01522.5
Week 01522.5
Week 11522.5
Week 11514.6
Week 21514.6
Week 21474.6
Week 21484.4
Week 21484.4
Week 31524.4
Week 31524.4
Week 31524.4
Week 31524.4
Week 31524.4
Week 31539.7
Week 31501.9
Week 41554.4
Week 41554.4
Week 41516.7
Week 41511.5
Week 41511.5
Week 51510.5
Week 51510.5
2026 Model Schedule
Week 1
at USC#18 BOA
Final 39–0
Week 2
vs Sacramento State#137 BOA
Final 49–3
Week 3
at San José State#110 BOA
Final 10–26
Week 4
vs Rice#117 BOA
Final 38–24
Week 5
at Washington State#67 BOA
43.0% win
View prediction →
Week 6
vs Boise State#31 BOA
No active forecast
Week 7
at San Diego State#98 BOA
No active forecast
Week 9
vs Oregon State#93 BOA
No active forecast
BOA rating context
BOA team profiles use the current published ratings and forecasts. They update automatically as new game results are processed.