Rankings
BOA Team Profile
Penn State
Big Ten · Current BOA team profile
BOA Rank
#21
Power Rating
1684.6
Ranking score 1670.1 · résumé -39.6
Offense
86.9
#17 nationally · 88th percentile
Defense
92.8
#9 nationally · 94th percentile
Schedule Strength
57.7
#59 nationally · 58th percentile
Recent Form
13.0
National Component Profile
How Penn State compares with the FBS
138-team active BOA publication
Offensive Strength
86.9
#17 nationally88th percentile
Defensive Strength
92.8
#9 nationally94th percentile
Schedule Strength
57.7
#59 nationally58th percentile
Component ratings use a 0–100 national-strength scale. Higher offense and defense mean stronger units; higher schedule strength means a more difficult schedule.
Advanced Team Intelligence
CFBD advanced game performance
Measured game performance is displayed separately from BOA model ratings.
2 completed games with advanced data
Season PPA / Play
+0.373
Play-weighted
Season Success Rate
47.6%
Play-weighted
Season Explosiveness
1.316
Play-weighted
Points / Opportunity
4.06
Opportunity-weighted
Latest advanced game
Week 2 · at Temple
27–9 · Data quality: advanced box
Source: CFBD advanced box
Efficiency · EPA / Play
—
Value created per play
Consistency · Success Rate
43.8%
How often the offense stayed on schedule
Big-Play Threat · Explosiveness
1.180
Damage created on successful plays
Disruption · Havoc Rate
12.8%
Negative events created by the defense
Field Position
Own 39
BOA Expected Win Share
—
How often this performance profile would be expected to win
Advanced details
PPA / Play
+0.207
Pass PPA / Play
+0.494
Rush PPA / Play
-0.046
Cumulative PPA
+13.30
Standard-Down Success
46.9%
Passing-Down Success
33.3%
Stuff Rate
8.3%
Power Success
66.7%
Line Yards / Rush
1.80
2nd-Level Yards / Rush
1.10
Open-Field Yards / Rush
0.20
Points / Opportunity
3.00
Pass EPA / Play
—
Rush EPA / Play
—
Advanced game log
| Week | Opponent | PPA/Play | Success | Explosive | Havoc | Pts/Opp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | at Temple | +0.207 | 43.8% | 1.180 | 12.8% | 3.00 |
| W1 | vs Marshall | +0.644 | 53.8% | 1.540 | 38.9% | 5.43 |
CFBD Passing Intelligence
Passing production + efficiency
PPA, success, explosiveness, aDOT, air yards, YAC and location availability.
full
Offense PPA
0.977
27 attempts
Success Rate
55.6%
15 successful
aDOT
8.1
96% air-yard coverage
Explosiveness
2.235
96% location coverage
PPA Allowed
0.042
Opponent passing production
Success Allowed
32.1%
Opponent success rate
aDOT Allowed
4.6
100% coverage
Expl. Allowed
1.073
Opponent explosiveness
Passing PPA by game
Field View
Penn State passing map
Deep ↑
Behind LOS ↓
Behind LOS ↓
Deep
Left
1att
Comp 100%
YPA 26.0
PPA 0.682
Success 100%
aDOT 25.0
YAC 1
Middle
2att
Comp 50%
YPA 11.5
PPA 0.569
Success 50%
aDOT 24.0
YAC 3
Right
1att
Comp 0%
YPA 0.0
PPA 3.673
Success 100%
aDOT 20.0
YAC —
Short
Short
Left
7att
Comp 86%
YPA 8.4
PPA 0.508
Success 43%
aDOT 2.4
YAC 61
Middle
6att
Comp 83%
YPA 25.3
PPA 2.066
Success 83%
aDOT 11.3
YAC 92
Right
9att
Comp 67%
YPA 6.2
PPA 0.225
Success 33%
aDOT 3.7
YAC 39
Line of Scrimmage
Behind LOS
Left
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Middle
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Right
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Backfield / screen area
Unclassified: 1 attempts · 100% comp · 2.903 PPA/play
Behind LOS includes only passes with negative charted air yards. Missing play-level charting is shown as unavailable, never as zero.
Movement Intelligence
Rank + Rating History
Published BOA position and rating by week.
Week 0
#23
1697.1
Week 0
#23
1697.1
-0.0 rating
No rank change
Week 1
#23
1697.1
+0.0 rating
No rank change
Rating History
Each bar shows that week's rating relative to this team's highest published rating.
Week 01697.1
Week 01697.1
Week 11697.1
Week 11704.4
Week 21704.4
Week 21728.1
Week 21734.7
Week 21734.7
Week 31727.8
Week 31727.8
Week 31727.8
Week 31727.8
Week 31727.8
Week 31730.2
Week 31737.2
Week 41743.4
Week 41743.4
Week 41750.4
Week 41709.8
Week 41709.8
Week 51684.6
Week 51684.6
2026 Model Schedule
Week 1
vs Marshall#77 BOA
Final 45–0
Week 2
at Temple#115 BOA
Final 9–27
Week 3
vs Buffalo#122 BOA
Final 55–13
Week 4
vs Wisconsin#33 BOA
Final 20–24
Week 5
at Northwestern#34 BOA
47.7% win
View prediction →
Week 6
vs USC#18 BOA
No active forecast
Week 7
at Michigan#24 BOA
No active forecast
Week 9
vs Purdue#95 BOA
No active forecast
BOA rating context
BOA team profiles use the current published ratings and forecasts. They update automatically as new game results are processed.