Rankings
BOA Team Profile
Texas State
Pac-12 · Current BOA team profile
BOA Rank
#81
Power Rating
1456.5
Ranking score 1455.1 · résumé -1.4
Offense
60.3
#51 nationally · 64th percentile
Defense
17.2
#121 nationally · 13th percentile
Schedule Strength
51.8
#67 nationally · 52nd percentile
Recent Form
94.7
National Component Profile
How Texas State compares with the FBS
138-team active BOA publication
Offensive Strength
60.3
#51 nationally64th percentile
Defensive Strength
17.2
#121 nationally13th percentile
Schedule Strength
51.8
#67 nationally52nd percentile
Component ratings use a 0–100 national-strength scale. Higher offense and defense mean stronger units; higher schedule strength means a more difficult schedule.
Advanced Team Intelligence
CFBD advanced game performance
Measured game performance is displayed separately from BOA model ratings.
2 completed games with advanced data
Season PPA / Play
+0.190
Play-weighted
Season Success Rate
47.5%
Play-weighted
Season Explosiveness
1.020
Play-weighted
Points / Opportunity
3.38
Opportunity-weighted
Latest advanced game
Week 2 · vs UTSA
26–31 · Data quality: advanced box
Source: CFBD advanced box
Efficiency · EPA / Play
—
Value created per play
Consistency · Success Rate
47.5%
How often the offense stayed on schedule
Big-Play Threat · Explosiveness
1.020
Damage created on successful plays
Disruption · Havoc Rate
10.8%
Negative events created by the defense
Field Position
Own 27
BOA Expected Win Share
—
How often this performance profile would be expected to win
Advanced details
PPA / Play
+0.190
Pass PPA / Play
+0.307
Rush PPA / Play
+0.190
Cumulative PPA
+15.20
Standard-Down Success
46.8%
Passing-Down Success
50.0%
Stuff Rate
8.0%
Power Success
100.0%
Line Yards / Rush
3.70
2nd-Level Yards / Rush
1.00
Open-Field Yards / Rush
1.60
Points / Opportunity
3.38
Pass EPA / Play
—
Rush EPA / Play
—
Advanced game log
| Week | Opponent | PPA/Play | Success | Explosive | Havoc | Pts/Opp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | vs UTSA | +0.190 | 47.5% | 1.020 | 10.8% | 3.38 |
| W1 | at Texas Longhorns | — | 39.5% | 0.802 | 23.1% | 0.20 |
CFBD Passing Intelligence
Passing production + efficiency
PPA, success, explosiveness, aDOT, air yards, YAC and location availability.
partial
Offense PPA
0.377
29 attempts
Success Rate
48.3%
14 successful
aDOT
5.9
100% air-yard coverage
Explosiveness
1.415
97% location coverage
PPA Allowed
0.908
Opponent passing production
Success Allowed
64.7%
Opponent success rate
aDOT Allowed
8.0
94% coverage
Expl. Allowed
1.909
Opponent explosiveness
Passing PPA by game
Field View
Texas State passing map
Deep ↑
Behind LOS ↓
Behind LOS ↓
Deep
Left
0att
Comp —
YPA —
PPA 0.000
Success 0%
aDOT —
YAC —
Middle
1att
Comp 0%
YPA 0.0
PPA -0.722
Success 0%
aDOT 36.0
YAC —
Right
0att
Comp —
YPA —
PPA 0.000
Success 0%
aDOT —
YAC —
Short
Short
Left
7att
Comp 100%
YPA 6.1
PPA 0.583
Success 71%
aDOT 3.1
YAC 21
Middle
5att
Comp 60%
YPA 15.2
PPA 1.387
Success 60%
aDOT 9.8
YAC 43
Right
15att
Comp 67%
YPA 4.6
PPA 0.107
Success 40%
aDOT 4.1
YAC 53
Line of Scrimmage
Behind LOS
Left
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Middle
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Right
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Backfield / screen area
Unclassified: 1 attempts · 0% comp · -0.959 PPA/play
Behind LOS includes only passes with negative charted air yards. Missing play-level charting is shown as unavailable, never as zero.
Movement Intelligence
Rank + Rating History
Published BOA position and rating by week.
Week 0
#77
1497.6
Week 0
#77
1497.6
-0.0 rating
No rank change
Week 1
#77
1497.6
+0.0 rating
No rank change
Rating History
Each bar shows that week's rating relative to this team's highest published rating.
Week 01497.6
Week 01497.6
Week 11497.6
Week 11493.4
Week 21493.4
Week 21453.4
Week 21435.3
Week 21435.3
Week 31428.8
Week 31428.8
Week 31428.8
Week 31428.8
Week 31428.8
Week 31452.6
Week 31456.5
Week 41479.7
Week 41479.7
Week 41483.6
Week 41456.5
Week 41456.5
Week 51456.5
Week 51456.5
2026 Model Schedule
Week 1
at Texas#2 BOA
Final 59–7
Week 2
vs UTSA#56 BOA
Final 26–31
Week 3
vs North Texas#70 BOA
Final 49–35
Week 5
at San Diego State#98 BOA
45.8% win
View prediction →
Week 7
vs Colorado State#101 BOA
No active forecast
Week 8
vs Utah State#82 BOA
No active forecast
Week 9
at Boise State#31 BOA
No active forecast
BOA rating context
BOA team profiles use the current published ratings and forecasts. They update automatically as new game results are processed.