Rankings
BOA Team Profile
Duke
ACC · Current BOA team profile
BOA Rank
#20
Power Rating
1664.1
Ranking score 1674.3
Offense
62.1
#48 nationally · 66th percentile
Defense
86.6
#13 nationally · 91st percentile
Schedule Strength
58.4
#58 nationally · 59th percentile
Recent Form
72.6
National Component Profile
How Duke compares with the FBS
138-team active BOA publication
Offensive Strength
62.1
#48 nationally66th percentile
Defensive Strength
86.6
#13 nationally91st percentile
Schedule Strength
58.4
#58 nationally59th percentile
Component ratings use a 0–100 national-strength scale. Higher offense and defense mean stronger units; higher schedule strength means a more difficult schedule.
Advanced Team Intelligence
CFBD advanced game performance
Measured game performance is displayed separately from BOA model ratings.
2 completed games with advanced data
Season PPA / Play
+0.141
Play-weighted
Season Success Rate
36.3%
Play-weighted
Season Explosiveness
1.278
Play-weighted
Points / Opportunity
3.43
Opportunity-weighted
Latest advanced game
Week 2 · at Illinois
31–27 · Data quality: advanced box
Source: CFBD advanced box
Efficiency · EPA / Play
—
Value created per play
Consistency · Success Rate
45.6%
How often the offense stayed on schedule
Big-Play Threat · Explosiveness
1.330
Damage created on successful plays
Disruption · Havoc Rate
5.7%
Negative events created by the defense
Field Position
Own 30
BOA Expected Win Share
—
How often this performance profile would be expected to win
Advanced details
PPA / Play
+0.403
Pass PPA / Play
+0.755
Rush PPA / Play
+0.168
Cumulative PPA
+23.00
Standard-Down Success
52.4%
Passing-Down Success
26.7%
Stuff Rate
25.7%
Power Success
60.0%
Line Yards / Rush
2.70
2nd-Level Yards / Rush
1.40
Open-Field Yards / Rush
1.20
Points / Opportunity
5.17
Pass EPA / Play
—
Rush EPA / Play
—
Advanced game log
| Week | Opponent | PPA/Play | Success | Explosive | Havoc | Pts/Opp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W2 | at Illinois | +0.403 | 45.6% | 1.330 | 5.7% | 5.17 |
| W1 | vs Tulane | -0.051 | 29.5% | 1.240 | 25.5% | 2.13 |
CFBD Passing Intelligence
Passing production + efficiency
PPA, success, explosiveness, aDOT, air yards, YAC and location availability.
full
Offense PPA
-0.166
26 attempts
Success Rate
29.6%
8 successful
aDOT
6.0
96% air-yard coverage
Explosiveness
1.222
100% location coverage
PPA Allowed
0.067
Opponent passing production
Success Allowed
33.3%
Opponent success rate
aDOT Allowed
6.0
100% coverage
Expl. Allowed
0.866
Opponent explosiveness
Passing PPA by game
Field View
Duke passing map
Deep ↑
Behind LOS ↓
Behind LOS ↓
Deep
Left
2att
Comp 50%
YPA 10.0
PPA 0.671
Success 50%
aDOT 27.5
YAC 0
Middle
0att
Comp —
YPA —
PPA 0.000
Success 0%
aDOT —
YAC —
Right
0att
Comp —
YPA —
PPA 0.000
Success 0%
aDOT —
YAC —
Short
Short
Left
13att
Comp 69%
YPA 7.5
PPA 0.145
Success 39%
aDOT 3.2
YAC 85
Middle
6att
Comp 33%
YPA 1.3
PPA -1.049
Success 17%
aDOT 5.7
YAC 0
Right
6att
Comp 17%
YPA 1.7
PPA -0.185
Success 17%
aDOT 5.2
YAC 15
Line of Scrimmage
Behind LOS
Left
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Middle
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Right
Play-level
charting only
charting only
Backfield / screen area
Unclassified: 0 attempts · — comp · 0.000 PPA/play
Behind LOS includes only passes with negative charted air yards. Missing play-level charting is shown as unavailable, never as zero.
Movement Intelligence
Rank + Rating History
Published BOA position and rating by week.
Week 0
#38
1609.4
Week 0
#38
1609.4
+0.0 rating
No rank change
Week 1
#17
1624.6
+15.1 rating
▲ 21 spots
Rating History
Each bar shows that week's rating relative to this team's highest published rating.
Week 01609.4
Week 01609.4
Week 11609.4
Week 11624.6
Week 21624.6
Week 21636.9
Week 21658.0
Week 21658.0
Week 31671.1
Week 31671.1
Week 31671.1
Week 31671.1
Week 31671.1
Week 31676.8
Week 31664.1
Week 41686.2
Week 41686.2
Week 41673.5
Week 41664.1
Week 41664.1
Week 51664.1
Week 51664.1
2026 Model Schedule
Week 1
vs Tulane#86 BOA
Final 17–3
Week 2
at Illinois#36 BOA
Final 27–31
Week 3
vs Stanford#85 BOA
Final 35–7
Week 6
at Georgia Tech#79 BOA
No active forecast
Week 7
vs North Carolina#68 BOA
No active forecast
Week 8
at Virginia#48 BOA
No active forecast
Week 9
vs Boston College#92 BOA
No active forecast
BOA rating context
BOA team profiles use the current published ratings and forecasts. They update automatically as new game results are processed.